Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
