Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 67.52%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 13.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.
-0.65) 
0.34) 
