SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 37.01%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Barnsley |
36.06% ( -0.04) | 26.93% ( -0.07) | 37.01% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 51.13% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.9% ( 0.26) | 54.1% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.48% ( 0.22) | 75.52% ( -0.22) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.22% ( 0.1) | 28.78% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.37% ( 0.13) | 64.62% ( -0.12) |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.79% ( 0.2) | 28.21% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.09% ( 0.24) | 63.91% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Barnsley |
| 1-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.97% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 36.05% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.1% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.5% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 37.01% |
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