SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 37.03% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
37.93% ( -1.64) | 25.03% ( -0.32) | 37.03% ( 1.96) |
| Both teams to score 57.65% ( 1.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.2% ( 1.61) | 45.79% ( -1.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.89% ( 1.51) | 68.11% ( -1.52) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.17% ( -0.13) | 23.83% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.99% ( -0.19) | 58% ( 0.19) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.69% ( 1.85) | 24.31% ( -1.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.31% ( 2.55) | 58.69% ( -2.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.62)2-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.47)3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.24)4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.93% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.18)0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.41)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.19% Total : 25.03% | 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.33)2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.23)0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.24)1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.18)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.13)0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.13)Other @ 1.93% Total : 37.03% |
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