Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
-0.01) 
0.02) 
