Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.
