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League One | Gameweek 11
Oct 2, 2021 at 3pm UK
Reebok Stadium
ST

Bolton
2 - 1
Shrewsbury

Sarcevic (18'), Afolayan (23')
Santos (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Leahy (89')
Bennett (90+6'), Bennett (90+6')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawShrewsbury Town
46.13%26.31%27.55%
Both teams to score 50.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.88%54.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.46%75.54%
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.58%23.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.59%57.41%
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.3%34.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.57%71.42%
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 46.13%
    Shrewsbury Town 27.55%
    Draw 26.31%
Bolton WanderersDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 11.79%
2-1 @ 9.06%
2-0 @ 8.56%
3-1 @ 4.39%
3-0 @ 4.14%
3-2 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 1.59%
4-0 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 46.13%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 8.13%
2-2 @ 4.8%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 8.6%
1-2 @ 6.61%
0-2 @ 4.55%
1-3 @ 2.33%
2-3 @ 1.69%
0-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 27.55%

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