Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 61.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 15.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
