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League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
M

Shrewsbury
3 - 1
Morecambe

Leahy (33' pen.), Street (44'), Dunkley (84')
Moore (21'), Cotterill (22'), Bayliss (62'), Leahy (65')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Crowley (45+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Peterborough 2-1 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Morecambe
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Shrewsbury Town 3-1 Morecambe

Given Morecambe's struggles on the road, this clash provides playoff-chasing Shrewsbury Town with the ideal opportunity to return to winning ways. The Shrews have netted at least two goals in each of their previous nine home league wins, putting them in a strong position to notch another high-scoring victory at New Meadow. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 60.25%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 17.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Shrewsbury Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Shrewsbury Town.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawMorecambe
60.25% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 22.04% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 17.72% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 50.76% (0.109 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.02% (0.114 0.11)46.98% (-0.118 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.78% (0.107 0.11)69.22% (-0.111 -0.11)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.84% (0.029999999999987 0.03)15.16% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.24% (0.062000000000005 0.06)43.76% (-0.067 -0.07)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.84% (0.105 0.11)40.16% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.2% (0.094999999999999 0.09)76.8% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 60.24%
    Morecambe 17.72%
    Draw 22.03%
Shrewsbury TownDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 11.48% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 10.83% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 6.81% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.93% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 60.24%
1-1 @ 10.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.09% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 22.03%
0-1 @ 5.55% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.45% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 17.72%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Peterborough 2-1 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 2-2 Shrewsbury
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 2-0 Wycombe
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 1-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-2 Port Vale
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Morecambe
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 0-0 Bolton
Saturday, March 4 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-0 Morecambe
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 Port Vale
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 0-3 Peterborough
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 3-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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