While the two sides are in vastly different runs of form, we do not see Shrewsbury taking all three points away from home and instead predict them forcing a commendable draw against a Peterborough team who possess more quality but are far from their best.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 55.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 20.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
0.58) 
-0.25) 
