Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Morecambe in this match.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Port Vale |
28.02% ( -1.9) | 25.07% ( -0.22) | 46.91% ( 2.13) |
Both teams to score 54.16% ( -0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.14% ( -0.07) | 48.86% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.04% ( -0.06) | 70.96% ( 0.06) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.44% ( -1.42) | 31.56% ( 1.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.04% ( -1.66) | 67.96% ( 1.67) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.14% ( 0.92) | 20.86% ( -0.92) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.44% ( 1.42) | 53.56% ( -1.42) |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Port Vale |
1-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.34) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.8% Total : 28.02% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 9.33% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.46) 1-3 @ 4.87% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.35) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.14) 0-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.18) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.6% Total : 46.91% |
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