Despite losing to playoff contenders Peterborough last time out, Morecambe have been extremely tough to beat at home in recent months, and they will sense an opportunity to move outside of the bottom four on Tuesday.
Port Vale have performed above expectations this season but Saturday's win against Exeter was their first victory since January 1, and they may be edged out in what is likely to be a tight game.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Morecambe in this match.
-1.9) 
2.13) 
