Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
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