Northampton
3 - 0
Cardiff

Smith (33' pen.), Warburton (49'), Watson (59')
Adams (23'), Horsfall (46'), Watson (57'), Warburton (61')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bacuna (28'), Hoilett (40'), Sang (79')

Data Analysis

Neil Harris "hugely frustrated" by defeat to Northampton Town

The Match

Match Report

Harry Smith, Matty Matthew Warburton and Ryan Watson were on target.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Northampton Town	Draw	Cardiff City
33.5%	25.33%	41.17%

Both teams to score 56.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.37%

47.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.17%

69.83%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.78%

27.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.36%

62.64%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.01%

22.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.21%

56.79%

Score Analysis

Northampton Town 33.5%

Cardiff City 41.17%

Draw 25.33%

Northampton Town	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 8.14% 2-1 @ 7.79% 2-0 @ 5.3% 3-1 @ 3.38% 3-2 @ 2.48% 3-0 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.01% Total : 33.5%	1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.26% 2-2 @ 5.73% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.33%	0-1 @ 9.2% 1-2 @ 8.8% 0-2 @ 6.76% 1-3 @ 4.31% 0-3 @ 3.31% 2-3 @ 2.81% 1-4 @ 1.59% 0-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.15% Total : 41.17%