MK Dons
3 - 1
Northampton

Poole (34'), Nombe (74'), Sorinola (77')
Sorensen (66')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mills (13')
Lines (49')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between MK Dons and Northampton Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 37.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
MK Dons	Draw	Northampton Town
37.4%	24.5%	38.1%

Both teams to score 59.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.73%

43.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.33%

65.67%

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.03%

22.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.24%

56.76%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.39%

22.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.77%

56.23%

Score Analysis

MK Dons 37.4%

Northampton Town 38.1%

Draw 24.49%

MK Dons	Draw	Northampton Town
2-1 @ 8.35% 1-0 @ 7.64% 2-0 @ 5.62% 3-1 @ 4.1% 3-2 @ 3.05% 3-0 @ 2.76% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-2 @ 1.12% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.25% Total : 37.4%	1-1 @ 11.35% 2-2 @ 6.21% 0-0 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.49%	1-2 @ 8.44% 0-1 @ 7.72% 0-2 @ 5.74% 1-3 @ 4.19% 2-3 @ 3.08% 0-3 @ 2.85% 1-4 @ 1.56% 2-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.33% Total : 38.1%