Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.