Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
