Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 53.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 21.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Bolton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sunderland in this match.
