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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 31, 2021 at 7pm UK
Reebok Stadium
PV

Bolton
3 - 2
Port Vale

Doyle (28'), Delfouneso (54'), Afolayan (77')
Delfouneso (67'), Santos (75'), Baptiste (81'), Brockbank (90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Conlon (35'), Amoo (43')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawPort Vale
40.62%26.07%33.3%
Both teams to score 53.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.12%50.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.24%72.75%
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.29%24.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.75%59.25%
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.08%28.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.2%64.79%
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 40.62%
    Port Vale 33.3%
    Draw 26.07%
Bolton WanderersDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 9.99%
2-1 @ 8.66%
2-0 @ 6.98%
3-1 @ 4.04%
3-0 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 2.51%
4-1 @ 1.41%
4-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 40.62%
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 7.14%
2-2 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 8.86%
1-2 @ 7.69%
0-2 @ 5.5%
1-3 @ 3.18%
0-3 @ 2.27%
2-3 @ 2.22%
1-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 33.3%

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