Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 50.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 21.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.72%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Gillingham win it was 1-0 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.