Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 50.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 23.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Mansfield Town win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.