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League One | Gameweek 34
Mar 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
ST

Accrington
2 - 1
Swindon

Charles (11'), Bishop (44')
Hughes (31'), Butcher (45+2'), Burgess (59')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Pitman (30')
Coverage of the League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Swindon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 50.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 24.28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawSwindon Town
50.99%24.74%24.28%
Both teams to score 51.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.74%50.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.79%72.21%
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.29%19.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.28%51.72%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.64%35.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.88%72.12%
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 50.98%
    Swindon Town 24.28%
    Draw 24.73%
Accrington StanleyDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 11.31%
2-1 @ 9.56%
2-0 @ 9.19%
3-1 @ 5.17%
3-0 @ 4.98%
3-2 @ 2.69%
4-1 @ 2.1%
4-0 @ 2.02%
4-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 50.98%
1-1 @ 11.76%
0-0 @ 6.97%
2-2 @ 4.97%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 7.25%
1-2 @ 6.12%
0-2 @ 3.77%
1-3 @ 2.12%
2-3 @ 1.72%
0-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2%
Total : 24.28%

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