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League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2021 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
ST

Burton Albion
2 - 1
Swindon

Hamer (26'), Brayford (83')
Hemmings (64')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Payne (35')
Coverage of the League One clash between Burton Albion and Swindon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 36.5%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (11.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawSwindon Town
36.5%27.94%35.55%
Both teams to score 47.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.96%58.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.28%78.72%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.56%30.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.35%66.64%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.96%31.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.65%67.35%
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 36.5%
    Swindon Town 35.55%
    Draw 27.93%
Burton AlbionDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 11.23%
2-1 @ 7.82%
2-0 @ 6.68%
3-1 @ 3.1%
3-0 @ 2.65%
3-2 @ 1.81%
4-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 36.5%
1-1 @ 13.14%
0-0 @ 9.45%
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.93%
0-1 @ 11.05%
1-2 @ 7.69%
0-2 @ 6.47%
1-3 @ 3%
0-3 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 35.55%

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