SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 37.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 2-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Barnsley |
37.55% ( -0.06) | 24.61% ( 0) | 37.84% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.2% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.2% ( -0.01) | 43.8% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.81% ( -0.01) | 66.19% ( 0.01) |
| Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.87% ( -0.04) | 23.13% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43% ( -0.05) | 56.99% ( 0.05) |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.02% ( 0.02) | 22.98% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.23% ( 0.03) | 56.77% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Barnsley |
| 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.78% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.21% Total : 37.55% | 1-1 @ 11.44% 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.61% | 1-2 @ 8.41% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.24% Total : 37.84% |
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