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League One | Gameweek 35
Feb 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
DL

Barnsley
2 - 1
Derby

Phillips (33', 66')
Earl (79'), Cosgrove (86'), Cole (90+1'), Roberts (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bradley (18')
Nelson (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fleetwood 1-2 Barnsley
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Stevenage
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 1-1 Derby County

With both sides boasting plenty of quality throughout their ranks, we anticipate a tight and cagey encounter at Oakwell on Saturday given the high stakes. We cannot quite pick a winner between two in-form teams and instead anticipate a share of the spoils in South Yorkshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Barnsley has a probability of 35.4% and a draw has a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Barnsley win is 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.32%).

Result
BarnsleyDrawDerby County
35.4% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 25.94% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 38.65% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 54.34% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50% (0.086000000000006 0.09)50% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.02% (0.076000000000001 0.08)71.98% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.8% (0.048999999999992 0.05)27.2% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.39% (0.068000000000005 0.07)62.61% (-0.067 -0.07)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.64% (0.039999999999992 0.04)25.36% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.85% (0.055999999999997 0.06)60.15% (-0.055 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 35.4%
    Derby County 38.65%
    Draw 25.94%
BarnsleyDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 8.98% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.48% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.54% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 35.4%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.9% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 9.46% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.45% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 6.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 38.65%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-2 Barnsley
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-1 Barnsley
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Barnsley
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Barnsley
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Stevenage
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-3 Derby
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 1-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 0-1 Derby
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 2-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 1-0 Derby
Tuesday, January 23 at 8pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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