SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Bradford City |
33.19% ( -0.03) | 25.54% ( 0.01) | 41.27% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.23% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.35% ( -0.06) | 48.65% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.23% ( -0.05) | 70.77% ( 0.05) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.09% ( -0.05) | 27.9% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.48% ( -0.06) | 63.52% ( 0.06) |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.6% ( -0.01) | 23.39% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.62% ( -0.02) | 57.38% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Bradford City |
| 1-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.32% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.26% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 33.19% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.79% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.26% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.34% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 41.27% |
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