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League Two | Gameweek 29
Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Poundland Bescot Stadium
AS

Walsall
2 - 1
Accrington

Okagbue (60'), Adegboyega (85')
Faal (90+7'), Gordon (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nolan (56' pen.)
Martin (22'), Nolan (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Walsall
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 0-1 Crawley
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Walsall 1-0 Accrington Stanley

Walsall are in great form heading into this game after three consecutive victories and a four-game unbeaten streak. Accrington, on the other hand, have dominated this fixture, winning the last four. However, we think the home side will edge this at the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.

Result
WalsallDrawAccrington Stanley
49.24% (0.079999999999998 0.08) 24.23% (-0.012 -0.01) 26.52% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)
Both teams to score 55.7% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.72% (-0.012 -0.01)46.28% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.43% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)68.57% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.14% (0.025999999999996 0.03)18.86% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.68% (0.047000000000004 0.05)50.32% (-0.055 -0.05)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.64% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)31.35% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.28% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)67.72% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Walsall 49.24%
    Accrington Stanley 26.52%
    Draw 24.23%
WalsallDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 9.86% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.23% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.58% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 49.24%
1-1 @ 11.44%
0-0 @ 5.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.23%
0-1 @ 6.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.63% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.57% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 26.52%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Walsall
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 3-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 2-1 Mansfield
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 1-1 Walsall
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 0-3 Newport
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-1 Walsall
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 0-1 Crawley
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-1 Accrington
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 2-0 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 2-1 Accrington
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 0-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 0-1 Accrington
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League Two


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