Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 61.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 18.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
61.8% (![]() | 20.12% (![]() | 18.07% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.24% (![]() | 37.74% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40% (![]() | 59.99% (![]() |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.23% (![]() | 11.76% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.06% (![]() | 36.93% (![]() |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.73% (![]() | 34.26% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.03% (![]() | 70.95% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
2-1 @ 9.89% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.23% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.62% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.05% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.59% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.78% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.78% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.52% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.02% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.51% Other @ 4.19% Total : 61.8% | 1-1 @ 9.24% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.3% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.03% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.35% ( ![]() Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.12% | 1-2 @ 4.95% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.32% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.31% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.77% ( ![]() Other @ 2.84% Total : 18.07% |
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