Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
