Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.
