Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.