Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.
