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League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 23, 2021 at 1pm UK
St. James' Park
S

Exeter
3 - 1
Stevenage

Collins (10'), Jay (79'), Bowman (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
List (81')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Exeter City and Stevenage.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 63.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 14.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.9%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawStevenage
63.25%22.24%14.51%
Both teams to score 43.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.81%53.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.24%74.76%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.72%16.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.17%45.83%
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.87%48.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.67%83.32%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 63.24%
    Stevenage 14.51%
    Draw 22.24%
Exeter CityDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 14.22%
2-0 @ 12.9%
2-1 @ 9.44%
3-0 @ 7.81%
3-1 @ 5.71%
4-0 @ 3.55%
4-1 @ 2.59%
3-2 @ 2.09%
5-0 @ 1.29%
4-2 @ 0.95%
5-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 63.24%
1-1 @ 10.4%
0-0 @ 7.83%
2-2 @ 3.45%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 22.24%
0-1 @ 5.73%
1-2 @ 3.8%
0-2 @ 2.1%
1-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 14.51%

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