SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bradford City | Draw | Mansfield Town |
32.54% ( 0.07) | 26.31% ( 0.05) | 41.15% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 52.53% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.95% ( -0.18) | 52.04% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.22% ( -0.16) | 73.77% ( 0.16) |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70% ( -0.05) | 30% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.88% ( -0.06) | 66.11% ( 0.05) |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.04% ( -0.14) | 24.96% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.39% ( -0.2) | 59.6% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bradford City | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 32.54% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.3% | 0-1 @ 10.39% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.68% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.21% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 41.15% |
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