Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
0.24) 
-0.05) 
