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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bradford City | Draw | Mansfield Town |
34.95% ( 0.24) | 26.45% ( -0.05) | 38.6% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 52.62% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.82% ( 0.26) | 52.17% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.11% ( 0.22) | 73.89% ( -0.22) |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.48% ( 0.27) | 28.52% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.7% ( 0.34) | 64.3% ( -0.34) |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.61% ( 0.02) | 26.39% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.45% ( 0.02) | 61.55% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bradford City | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.69% Total : 34.95% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.38% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 38.59% |
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