Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
