Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 45.08%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
