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League Two | Gameweek 29
Mar 30, 2021 at 7pm UK
Brunton Park
CT

Carlisle
2 - 0
Crawley

Riley (17'), Patrick (33')
Guy (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)

McNerney (66'), Craig (81')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Crawley Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawCrawley Town
40.31%27.29%32.4%
Both teams to score 49.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.03%55.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.93%77.07%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.78%27.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.36%62.63%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.92%32.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.45%68.55%
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 40.31%
    Crawley Town 32.4%
    Draw 27.28%
Carlisle UnitedDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 11.36%
2-1 @ 8.41%
2-0 @ 7.39%
3-1 @ 3.65%
3-0 @ 3.21%
3-2 @ 2.07%
4-1 @ 1.19%
4-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 40.31%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 8.73%
2-2 @ 4.78%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 9.93%
1-2 @ 7.34%
0-2 @ 5.64%
1-3 @ 2.78%
0-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 32.4%

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