SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Cambridge United |
| 36.67% | 26.38% | 36.95% |
| Both teams to score 52.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.22% | 51.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.46% | 73.54% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.7% | 27.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.26% | 62.74% |
| Cambridge United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.86% | 27.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.47% | 62.52% |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Cambridge United |
| 1-0 @ 9.62% 2-1 @ 8.14% 2-0 @ 6.24% 3-1 @ 3.53% 3-0 @ 2.7% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 3% Total : 36.67% | 1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 7.41% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 9.66% 1-2 @ 8.18% 0-2 @ 6.3% 1-3 @ 3.56% 0-3 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.04% Total : 36.95% |
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