MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 17:30:31
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Wednesday, December 25
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League Two | Gameweek 34
Mar 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
Globe Arena
CU

Morecambe
3 - 1
Carlisle

Wildig (32'), Diagouraga (37'), Stockton (53')
Lavelle (12'), Mellor (45+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hayden (79')
Alessandra (39')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Morecambe and Carlisle United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
MorecambeDrawCarlisle United
31.29%27.05%41.66%
Both teams to score 49.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.64%55.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.43%76.57%
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.46%32.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.93%69.07%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.8%26.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.7%61.3%
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 31.29%
    Carlisle United 41.66%
    Draw 27.05%
MorecambeDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 9.57%
2-1 @ 7.2%
2-0 @ 5.37%
3-1 @ 2.69%
3-0 @ 2.01%
3-2 @ 1.8%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 31.29%
1-1 @ 12.82%
0-0 @ 8.53%
2-2 @ 4.82%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 11.42%
1-2 @ 8.59%
0-2 @ 7.65%
1-3 @ 3.83%
0-3 @ 3.41%
2-3 @ 2.15%
1-4 @ 1.28%
0-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 41.66%

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Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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