Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
-1.16) 
1.23) 
