Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colchester United in this match.
0.13) 
-0.04) 
