Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.