Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 46.75%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 26.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 1-0 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
