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League Two | Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2021 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
OA

Crawley
1 - 4
Oldham

Tilley (90')
Craig (64'), Tsaroulla (65')
FT(HT: 0-2)
McAleny (40', 47'), Borthwick-Jackson (41'), Bahamboula (90+5')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crawley Town and Oldham Athletic.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawOldham Athletic
43.88%26.83%29.29%
Both teams to score 49.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.74%55.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.51%76.49%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.98%25.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.32%59.68%
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.04%33.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.37%70.63%
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 43.88%
    Oldham Athletic 29.29%
    Draw 26.83%
Crawley TownDrawOldham Athletic
1-0 @ 11.77%
2-1 @ 8.81%
2-0 @ 8.16%
3-1 @ 4.07%
3-0 @ 3.77%
3-2 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 1.41%
4-0 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 43.88%
1-1 @ 12.71%
0-0 @ 8.5%
2-2 @ 4.76%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 9.18%
1-2 @ 6.87%
0-2 @ 4.96%
1-3 @ 2.47%
0-3 @ 1.78%
2-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 29.29%

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