SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.69%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Walsall |
44.84% ( -0.45) | 22.81% ( 0.08) | 32.34% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 64.68% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.83% ( -0.24) | 36.17% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.72% ( -0.27) | 58.28% ( 0.27) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.35% ( -0.27) | 16.65% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.51% ( -0.48) | 46.49% ( 0.48) |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.59% ( 0.09) | 22.4% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.08% ( 0.14) | 55.92% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Walsall |
| 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.44% Total : 44.84% | 1-1 @ 10% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 2% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.81% | 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.31% Total : 32.34% |
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