SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Crawley Town |
40.37% ( 0.02) | 23.53% ( -0.01) | 36.1% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.14% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.35% ( 0.05) | 38.64% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.05% ( 0.06) | 60.94% ( -0.06) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.49% ( 0.03) | 19.51% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.6% ( 0.05) | 51.39% ( -0.05) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.44% ( 0.02) | 21.55% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.37% ( 0.03) | 54.63% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.62% 1-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.62% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.69% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.06% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.92% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 3.27% Total : 40.37% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.84% ( 0)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.52% | 1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.38% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.59% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.69% Total : 36.1% |
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