The teams boast similar attacking records heading into this one, and we are tipping them both to find the back of the net. However, MK Dons have been more solid defensively, and we just about fancy them to secure the win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 53.52%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 24% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
0.06) 
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