SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Walsall | Draw | Crawley Town |
40.77% ( -0.56) | 25.92% ( 0.26) | 33.3% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 54% ( -0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.74% ( -1.02) | 50.25% ( 1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.79% ( -0.91) | 72.21% ( 0.91) |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.64% ( -0.74) | 24.35% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.25% ( -1.05) | 58.75% ( 1.05) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.38% ( -0.31) | 28.62% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.58% ( -0.38) | 64.42% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Walsall | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.84% Total : 40.77% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.66% Total : 33.3% |
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