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League Two | Gameweek 44
Apr 23, 2022 at 3pm UK
Wetherby Road
CU

Harrogate
3 - 0
Carlisle

Diamond (18', 90+1'), McArdle (27')
Austerfield (66'), Sheron (70'), (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Devine (35'), Feeney (56')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawCarlisle United
35.16%25.53%39.31%
Both teams to score 55.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.79%48.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.64%70.36%
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.51%26.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.32%61.68%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.8%24.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.47%58.53%
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 35.16%
    Carlisle United 39.31%
    Draw 25.53%
Harrogate TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 8.51%
2-1 @ 8.02%
2-0 @ 5.66%
3-1 @ 3.55%
3-2 @ 2.52%
3-0 @ 2.5%
4-1 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 35.16%
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 6.41%
2-2 @ 5.69%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 9.1%
1-2 @ 8.57%
0-2 @ 6.45%
1-3 @ 4.06%
0-3 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 2.69%
1-4 @ 1.44%
0-4 @ 1.08%
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 39.31%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Northampton 3-0 Harrogate
Monday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 1-4 Swindon
Friday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 2-0 Harrogate
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 1-2 Colchester
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Scunthorpe 0-3 Harrogate
Saturday, March 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 0-3 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, March 22 at 7pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 1-0 Mansfield
Monday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 1-0 Carlisle
Friday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Exeter
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 2-2 Carlisle
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 2-0 Carlisle
Tuesday, March 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 1-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, March 26 at 3pm in League Two


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