Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 70.06%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 11.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.29%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.